The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
SEPTEMBER 2006 KEY POINTS
Trend
The trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles continues to increase. The September 2006 trend estimate (80,622) increased 0.5% compared with the August 2006 estimate.
Passenger vehicles was the only category to record an increase from August 2006 to September 2006, rising 0.8%. Passenger vehicles have now shown five consecutive months of trend increases.
The trend estimate for sports utility vehicles remained stable for September 2006 after 18 consecutive months of decline, while the 'other vehicles' category continued to decline for the 13th month in a row.
Six states or territories showed a positive monthly percentage change in their trend estimates from August 2006 to September 2006, with Western Australia recording the highest percentage increase of 1.2%.
Seasonally adjusted
The September 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (81,651) increased 3.0% compared to the August 2006 estimate.
Tasmania had the largest increase (15.7%) with all other states and territories except the Northern Territory showing slight increases. The Northern Territory decreased 5.3%.
Over this period, 'other' vehicles were the only vehicle type to decrease (down 0.2%). Passenger vehicles rose 2.1% and sports utility vehicles rose 10.4%.
New motor vehicles sales, September 2006
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 24 816 | 20 905 | 17 508 | 5 034 | 9 744 | 1 647 | 753 | 1 244 | 81 651 |
Trend | 24 320 | 20 476 | 17 596 | 5 036 | 9 661 | 1 558 | 765 | 1 210 | 80 622 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 3.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 15.7 | -5.3 | 4.2 | 3.0 |
Trend | 0.6 | 0.8 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -4.1 | -3.0 | -4.7 | -5.2 | 9.7 | -19.3 | -10.4 | -3.9 | -3.0 |
Trend | -2.9 | -4.5 | -2.1 | -4.3 | 11.4 | -6.6 | -3.3 | -3.5 | -1.8 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
September 2006 | 20 October 2006 | |
October 2006 | 21 November 2006 | |
November 2006 | 21 December 2006 | |
December 2006
January 2007 | 22 January 2007
21 February 2007 | |
February 2007 | 21 March 2007 | |
TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The October 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the September 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
2 | The October 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the September 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
| |
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | July | 49 016 | 13 822 | 15 803 | 78 641 | -19.4 | -24.5 | -31.4 | -23.0 | |
| August | 53 648 | 15 173 | 17 356 | 86 177 | 9.4 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.6 | |
| September | 52 118 | 15 080 | 17 242 | 84 440 | -2.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -2.0 | |
| October | 48 434 | 12 503 | 15 181 | 76 118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 | |
| November | 52 751 | 14 252 | 16 535 | 83 538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | |
| December | 47 945 | 15 046 | 16 286 | 79 277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 43 761 | 13 251 | 12 991 | 70 003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 | |
| February | 48 483 | 13 506 | 15 457 | 77 446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 | |
| March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 | |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 | |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 | |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 | |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 | |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 | |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | July | 50 917 | 14 707 | 16 545 | 82 169 | -1.0 | 2.0 | -2.2 | -0.7 | |
| August | 51 497 | 15 023 | 17 265 | 83 785 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | |
| September | 51 294 | 15 687 | 17 197 | 84 178 | -0.4 | 4.4 | -0.4 | 0.5 | |
| October | 48 711 | 14 037 | 16 299 | 79 047 | -5.0 | -10.5 | -5.2 | -6.1 | |
| November | 50 001 | 14 031 | 16 507 | 80 539 | 2.6 | -0.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | |
| December | 49 556 | 14 953 | 16 740 | 81 249 | -0.9 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 51 442 | 14 728 | 16 953 | 83 123 | 3.8 | -1.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | |
| February | 50 088 | 14 174 | 16 634 | 80 896 | -2.6 | -3.8 | -1.9 | -2.7 | |
| March | 48 627 | 13 992 | 16 595 | 79 214 | -2.9 | -1.3 | -0.2 | -2.1 | |
| April | 49 278 | 13 905 | 16 318 | 79 501 | 1.3 | -0.6 | -1.7 | 0.4 | |
| May | 49 599 | 13 897 | 16 341 | 79 837 | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | |
| June | 48 830 | 14 305 | 15 576 | 78 711 | -1.6 | 2.9 | -4.7 | -1.4 | |
| July | 50 667 | 14 154 | 16 183 | 81 004 | 3.8 | -1.1 | 3.9 | 2.9 | |
| August | 50 291 | 13 032 | 15 936 | 79 259 | -0.7 | -7.9 | -1.5 | -2.2 | |
| September | 51 354 | 14 385 | 15 912 | 81 651 | 2.1 | 10.4 | -0.2 | 3.0 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | July | 51 073 | 14 753 | 16 891 | 82 717 | -0.4 | -0.9 | 0.6 | -0.3 | |
| August | 50 828 | 14 720 | 16 905 | 82 453 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | |
| September | 50 539 | 14 717 | 16 841 | 82 097 | -0.6 | -0.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| October | 50 277 | 14 685 | 16 771 | 81 733 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| November | 50 104 | 14 608 | 16 730 | 81 442 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |
| December | 50 001 | 14 490 | 16 710 | 81 201 | -0.2 | -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.3 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 49 897 | 14 364 | 16 689 | 80 950 | -0.2 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.3 | |
| February | 49 749 | 14 271 | 16 634 | 80 654 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 | |
| March | 49 560 | 14 180 | 16 532 | 80 272 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.5 | |
| April | 49 405 | 14 074 | 16 366 | 79 845 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -0.5 | |
| May | 49 417 | 13 975 | 16 194 | 79 586 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -0.3 | |
| June | 49 660 | 13 936 | 16 061 | 79 657 | 0.5 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 0.1 | |
| July | 50 033 | 13 916 | 15 968 | 79 917 | 0.8 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0.3 | |
| August | 50 443 | 13 900 | 15 906 | 80 249 | 0.8 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | |
| September | 50 858 | 13 899 | 15 865 | 80 622 | 0.8 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 0.5 | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
| |
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | July | 24 998 | 20 025 | 17 631 | 4 813 | 7 727 | 1 438 | 767 | 1 242 | 78 641 | |
| August | 26 292 | 22 550 | 19 330 | 5 458 | 8 714 | 1 689 | 751 | 1 393 | 86 177 | |
| September | 25 457 | 22 044 | 18 344 | 5 243 | 9 125 | 2 151 | 793 | 1 283 | 84 440 | |
| October | 22 949 | 20 289 | 16 026 | 5 030 | 8 349 | 1 655 | 659 | 1 161 | 76 118 | |
| November | 25 716 | 22 428 | 17 181 | 5 500 | 9 107 | 1 667 | 690 | 1 249 | 83 538 | |
| December | 23 054 | 22 110 | 16 208 | 5 335 | 8 664 | 2 080 | 690 | 1 136 | 79 277 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 21 995 | 17 876 | 15 107 | 4 380 | 7 604 | 1 295 | 616 | 1 130 | 70 003 | |
| February | 24 495 | 19 979 | 16 452 | 5 085 | 8 165 | 1 373 | 731 | 1 166 | 77 446 | |
| March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 | |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 | |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 | |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 | |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 | |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 | |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | July | 25 412 | 21 321 | 18 118 | 5 160 | 8 416 | 1 627 | 831 | 1 284 | 82 169 | |
| August | 25 911 | 21 851 | 18 290 | 5 288 | 8 682 | 1 652 | 800 | 1 311 | 83 785 | |
| September | 25 873 | 21 560 | 18 375 | 5 310 | 8 884 | 2 042 | 840 | 1 294 | 84 178 | |
| October | 23 698 | 20 665 | 17 427 | 5 197 | 8 527 | 1 606 | 739 | 1 188 | 79 047 | |
| November | 24 440 | 21 313 | 17 268 | 5 292 | 8 837 | 1 464 | 715 | 1 210 | 80 539 | |
| December | 24 686 | 21 611 | 17 466 | 5 241 | 8 725 | 1 577 | 767 | 1 176 | 81 249 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 25 850 | 21 275 | 18 152 | 5 310 | 8 851 | 1 600 | 817 | 1 268 | 83 123 | |
| February | 25 299 | 20 937 | 17 254 | 5 253 | 8 517 | 1 626 | 793 | 1 217 | 80 896 | |
| March | 24 585 | 19 946 | 17 601 | 4 835 | 8 678 | 1 594 | 769 | 1 206 | 79 214 | |
| April | 24 108 | 20 446 | 17 368 | 5 319 | 8 851 | 1 473 | 748 | 1 188 | 79 501 | |
| May | 23 872 | 20 199 | 17 792 | 5 267 | 9 243 | 1 575 | 740 | 1 149 | 79 837 | |
| June | 23 883 | 19 475 | 17 537 | 5 044 | 9 070 | 1 718 | 768 | 1 216 | 78 711 | |
| July | 24 193 | 20 412 | 18 285 | 5 157 | 9 531 | 1 514 | 738 | 1 174 | 81 004 | |
| August | 24 015 | 20 215 | 17 203 | 4 937 | 9 476 | 1 424 | 795 | 1 194 | 79 259 | |
| September | 24 816 | 20905 | 17 508 | 5 034 | 9 744 | 1 647 | 753 | 1 244 | 81 651 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | July | 25 439 | 21 516 | 18 298 | 5 270 | 8 420 | 1 700 | 818 | 1 256 | 82 717 | |
| August | 25 237 | 21 487 | 18 155 | 5 255 | 8 562 | 1 692 | 807 | 1 258 | 82 453 | |
| September | 25 045 | 21 436 | 17 966 | 5 261 | 8 676 | 1 668 | 791 | 1 254 | 82 097 | |
| October | 24 918 | 21 377 | 17 776 | 5 266 | 8 741 | 1 637 | 776 | 1 242 | 81 733 | |
| November | 24 882 | 21 308 | 17 638 | 5 260 | 8 751 | 1 607 | 769 | 1 227 | 81 442 | |
| December | 24 906 | 21 212 | 17 551 | 5 243 | 8 723 | 1 581 | 768 | 1 217 | 81 201 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 24 927 | 21 039 | 17 514 | 5 219 | 8 698 | 1 569 | 773 | 1 211 | 80 950 | |
| February | 24 877 | 20 793 | 17 526 | 5 194 | 8 712 | 1 569 | 774 | 1 209 | 80 654 | |
| March | 24 690 | 20 500 | 17 576 | 5 176 | 8 776 | 1 579 | 772 | 1 203 | 80 272 | |
| April | 24 398 | 20 233 | 17 621 | 5 160 | 8 893 | 1 581 | 765 | 1 194 | 79 845 | |
| May | 24 139 | 20 093 | 17 644 | 5 141 | 9 052 | 1 573 | 757 | 1 187 | 79 586 | |
| June | 24 040 | 20 098 | 17 663 | 5 119 | 9 229 | 1 565 | 756 | 1 187 | 79 657 | |
| July | 24 073 | 20 182 | 17 666 | 5 089 | 9 396 | 1 560 | 758 | 1 193 | 79 917 | |
| August | 24 173 | 20 307 | 17 650 | 5 056 | 9 545 | 1 557 | 760 | 1 201 | 80 249 | |
| September | 24 320 | 20 476 | 17 596 | 5 036 | 9 661 | 1 558 | 765 | 1 210 | 80 622 | |
| |
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |